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THE EU IN THE WAKE OF BREXIT. RESULTS OF A REPRESENTATIVE SURVEY CONDUCTED IN EIGHT EU COUNTRIES

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omnipresent, not least in order to mitigate the

incentive for migration within the EU. Yet opin-

ions on this do differ considerably between

countries. The introduction of minimum stand-

ards meets with considerable agreement in Italy

(74 %), Spain (71 %) and Slovakia (60 %),

whereas it meets with little enthusiasm in the

Czech Republic (41 %), the Netherlands (38 %)

and Sweden (33 %). Opinions are split in France

and Germany.

Among the unwritten and highly controver-

sial rules of the EU is the imperative to show

solidarity between Member Countries, which

also implies a financial transfer between pros-

perous and poorer countries. Here as well, views

in the various countries diverge. Majorities in

countries facing economic problems like Spain

(60 %), Slovakia (59 %) and Italy (53 %) advo-

cate financial support of poorer countries by

richer ones. Yet so does a clear majority in

Germany. On the other hand, majorities in the

Czech Republic and the Netherlands (61 and

65 %, respectively) reject such an approach.

Opinions are divided in Sweden and France.

Trust and confidence in Member States

The strength of the EU depends not least on

trust between Member States. This goes not

only for governments, but for populations as

well. As France and Germany play a special role

in the EU, trust of partner countries in these two

nations, but also in their own country, was

measured in 2017 and 2015. For reasons of

comparison, trust and confidence in two addi-

tional important EU countries was also surveyed:

Italy and Poland.

Findings in 2015 were very satisfactory from

a German perspective: trust and confidence in

Germany was relatively great across all seven

countries (65 %), while Germans themselves

trusted both their close ally France (59 %) and

their own country (76 %) to a high extent.

France did not do so well. Although the

French had roughly the same trust in the rising

neighbour Germany as vice versa (60 %), trust

of the seven partner countries in France turned

out to be rather modest at 52 %. Attitudes of

the French towards their own country also dis-

played self-doubt: Only around half had trust

(53 %) in their own country.

Both figures improved significantly following

the election of Emmanuel Macron. Now six out

of ten citizens from the seven partner countries

have trust and confidence in France, up eight

percentage points. Germans rank highest with

74 % (up 15 percentage points). This increase is

only surpassed by the Swedes (up 16 %), al-

though at a significantly lower level (59 %).

Most importantly, however, French citizens

themselves have restored faith in their country

(64 % / up 11 %).

As in 2015, two out of three citizens in the

seven partner states continue to have trust and

confidence in Germany. The relationship of the

French to their neighbouring country has even

improved (65 % / up five %). In addition, the

self-image of Germans has improved, as

Germany’s role in the EU is now considered pos-

itive by 88 % of its own citizens. So much self-

confidence can also arouse distrust, as seems to

be the case among the Czech population,

whose trust in their powerful neighbour has

eroded perceptively (down 7 %). Germany

seems to have made few friends in the Czech

population with its liberal refugee policy.

With Brexit impending, Italy will automati-

cally gain influence and importance as the new

third-largest EU country. Thus, it is important to

note that trust and confidence in this country

has risen substantially (up 7 %). Improvement is