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THE STATE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

68

countries – i.e. following the second round of

the French presidential election.

Attitudes towards the EU following Brexit

In the 45 years of its EU membership, the United

Kingdom has repeatedly proven to be a difficult

partner. Many associate its membership down

to the present day with the legendary demand

voiced by Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher: “I

want my money back”.

For this reason, it is perhaps unsurprising

that some EU citizens are feeling relieved in the

wake of Brexit, viewing it as strengthening the

EU (

Chart 1

). Such optimism is widespread in

the southern countries of Spain (23 %), France

(19 %) and Italy (18 %). Nonetheless, pluralities

(at least) in all countries do fear that the exit of

the United Kingdom will tend to weaken the

EU. Pessimism is strongest in Slovakia (51 %)

and Sweden (48 %). Germany assumes a posi-

tion in the middle: 41 % believe that Brexit will

turn out negative, with only a minority of 12 %

expecting positive effects. If one includes citi-

zens who do not expect a major impact in either

direction (40 %), however, the reaction in

Germany, with 52 % not expecting any disad-

vantages, turns out relatively optimistic. The

Dutch are also reacting in a remarkably serene

manner to the planned exit of the U.K., tradi-

tionally their close ally. Here as well, a cautious

optimism prevails that the impact of Brexit will

be limited (40 %) or that it will even be to the

advantage of the EU (11 %).

Gap between figures shown and 100 % is

the equivalent of categories “do not know, pre-

fer not to say”. Basis: eligible voters in the indi-

vidual countries.

In response to Brexit and other challenges,

such as the new foreign policy agenda of the

USA under Donald Trump, EU institutions have

100 %

90 %

80 %

70 %

60 %

50 %

40 %

30 %

20 %

10 %

0 %

Total

Strengthened      Won’t have any impact      Weakened

France Netherlands

Italy

Germany Czech Republic Spain

Sweden Slovakia

40

27

35

37

41

42

43

48

51

34

42

40

37

40

34

22

27

29

16

19

11

18

12

13

23

15

8

Chart 1.

Question: The British decided to leave the EU. What would you say: Will the EU be strengthened,

weakened or will the leaving of Britain not have any considerable impact?

Gap between figures shown and 100 percent is the equivalent of categories “do not know”, “prefer not to say”.

Basis: eligible voters in the individual countries.

Source:

policy matters

.