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THE STATE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION

96

supranational control of EU refugee and migra-

tion policy seems unlikely, although recent indi-

vidual policies giving Frontex and EASO more

coordinated competences indicate a certain

move in this direction. In a system with a more

supranational approach, in which the EU could

overcome its fragmentation and control the

movement of refugees effectively and in line

with international law, EU policy could even

help improve global protection of refugees.

However, this is unlikely, given the contextual

factors mentioned above: public opinion and

upcoming elections in important member

states.

The content of EU refugee policy can be

analysed in terms of three related circles. Listed

in order of focus from external to internal is-

sues, the following areas can be distinguished

(Bendel, 2016):

1. Cooperation with refugees’ countries of ori-

gin and transit.

2. Verifying and monitoring transit routes and

external border controls.

3. Lastly, within the European Union and its

member states, all measures regarding regis-

tration, admission and distribution of refu-

gees, and all rights to which they are entitled

as soon as they reach the territory of a mem-

ber state.

The focus of this policy has increasingly

moved to external issues. It originally focused

on internal and justice policy, before succes-

sively concentrating more on external, security

and defence policy, and the latest changes since

2015 have further intensified this change.

Various content questions arise, particularly re-

garding the outsourcing of the European re-

sponsibility to provide protection. Also, apart

from on internal and justice policy, the European

Parliament has hardly any co-determination

rights, and EU member states often lack a

shared position and the ability to strengthen

third countries in conflict resolution, promotion

of democracy and development. This text fol-

lows the three concentric circles. It will describe

recent developments and address the question

of how human and refugee rights can be pro-

tected and guaranteed.

Cooperation with refugees’ countries of

origin and transit

Considerable commitment is required at a

European and international level to plan a for-

ward-looking refugee policy and to tackle the

causes of refugee migration by guaranteeing sta-

bility, the rule of law and opportunities for par-

ticipation in countries of origin. Based on better

data and on predictions like those made by the

United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees

(UNHCR), Frontex and the European Asylum

Support Office (EASO) predictions of refugee

movement patterns and a quicker mechanism to

effectively process any future inflows, coordinate

the efforts of member states and maintain re-

serves for large flows of refugees.

In any case, it is vital that the EU and its

member states continue to push for global dis-

tribution of responsibility for the issue of refu-

gees. Many observers were disappointed to see

that the first high-level plenary session of the

United Nations General Assembly on refugees

and migration in September 2016 was not able

to establish this principle in a binding way. Two

global compacts to be negotiated by 2018 (the

Global Compact for Refugees, and the Global

Compact for Safe, Regular and Orderly

Migration) should now replace previous ad hoc

reactions to large flows of refugees with regu-

lated processes and prevent a disproportion-

ately high load falling on individual host