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64

Jean-Loup Samaan

clear that it was focusing exclusively on the fight against ISIL.

8

This exemplifies the

difficulties facing the US when it comes to accommodating the interests of all its partners.

War and its own grammar

In addition to these difficulties, the US has to cope with its potential local partners. So far only

theKurdish forces have demonstrated crediblemilitary strength. InSyria, their forces pushed ISIL

out of Kobane after weeks of bloody urban combat. In Iraq, the Peshmerga fighters also protected

the city of Kirkuk against a surprise offensive. However, the Kurdish military performance comes

at a price: by January 2015, it was estimated that 1,000 men had been killed in the fights.

9

But the effectiveness of other partners is more problematic. The Iraqi armed forces

remain poorly trained, lacking in motivation, and torn by sectarian rivalries. They have

proved unable to deliver, as witnessed by the major debacle of June 2014 in Mosul. In

response, in the late summer of 2014 the US sent an initial force of 1,500 non-combatant

soldiers to train and advise Iraqi forces. In November 2014, the White House sent a new

request calling for additional 1,600 advisers, amounting to US $ 1.618 billion. The major

test may come with the planned offensive to retake Mosul in the spring of 2015. According

to information released by the Department of Defense, the plan would include five Iraqi

Army Brigades (about 10,000 troops) in conjunction with Kurdish Peshmerga.

10

With regard to the so-called “vetted” Syrian rebels trained by the CIA in Jordan, results

have again been inconclusive. They lost some battles against factions like Jabhat al Nusra

and, in other cases, merely sided with those they were supposed to fight against.

11

These

resulting uncertainties surrounding the fight on the ground raise another issue: the strategic

significance of US airstrikes.

Airstrikes have been part of the operation named Inherent Resolve, conducted by the

US Central Command since 8 August 2014. They target ISIL leadership, military sites

and economic infrastructure. As of 30 January 2015, the cost of the operation was US $ 1.5

billion, with an average daily cost of $ 8.4 million.

12

If we look more specifically at the selection of targets, they are more or less equally

distributed in Iraq and Syria. In the latter case, 70% of the strikes have focused on the

Kurdish city of Kobane, which came under siege by ISIL in September 2014. According

to US sources, these strikes killed as many as 1,000 ISIL fighters in the surroundings of

Kobane, leading some journalists to query their effectiveness. The magazine

Mother Jones

stated ironically that “almost 600 airstrikes killed around 1,000 ISIS fighters in Kobani:

That’s less than one strike per TWO PEOPLE”.

13

8 Idiz S (2015). Questions remain over Turkey’s training of Syrian opposition.

Al Monitor

, 24 February 2015.

9 Caryl C (2015). Want to hurt the Islamic State? Here’s how.

Foreign Policy

, 6 February 2015.

10 Gordon M, Schmitt E (2015). Mosul battle will be test of US plan against ISIS.

New York Times

, 23

February 2015.

11 Stein J (2014). Inside the CIA’s Syrian Rebels Vetting Machine.

Newsweek

, 10 November 2014.

12 US Department of Defense. Operation inherent resolve: targeted operations against ISIL terrorists.

Available in:

http://www.defense.gov/home/features/2014/0814_iraq/.

13 McLaughlin J (2015). Most US airstrikes in Syria target a city that’s not a “strategic objective”.

Mother

Jones

, 23 January 2015. Available in:

http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/01/airstrikes-syria-

kobani-statistics-operation-inherent-resolve.